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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-0.09+6.19vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.85+3.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.53vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78-1.34vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.21-1.56vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65-1.60vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.03+0.03vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.15-5.73vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.94Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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2.66George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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3.44Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.4Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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7.03SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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2.27Georgetown University3.150.4%1st Place
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7.55Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Seski | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 23.8% | 29.8% |
| Sydney Seitz | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 22.5% | 14.0% | 6.6% |
| Spencer Nora | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Sam White | 25.0% | 28.4% | 20.2% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 16.0% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 28.8% | 20.9% |
| Jack Marshall | 37.3% | 25.7% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Morgan | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 24.6% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.