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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+2.52vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.15+0.38vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+1.45vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78-1.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.60-0.59vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.85-0.28vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.03+0.07vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-0.09-0.78vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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2.38Georgetown University3.150.3%1st Place
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4.45Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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2.68George Washington University2.780.3%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.72Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.07SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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7.22Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.56Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 16.2% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 20.8% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Marshall | 32.9% | 28.9% | 18.1% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 17.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Sam White | 26.8% | 24.6% | 21.8% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 7.6% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Sydney Seitz | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 12.7% | 5.5% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 20.6% | 27.6% | 22.9% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 20.9% | 25.4% | 29.1% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 25.7% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.