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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.15+1.23vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.03+5.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.55vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.65+0.34vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.78-2.33vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.09+1.20vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.21-3.44vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.85-2.25vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Georgetown University3.150.4%1st Place
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7.18SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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4.34Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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2.67George Washington University2.780.3%1st Place
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7.2Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.56Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.75Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.53Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Marshall | 36.8% | 28.4% | 17.8% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 25.5% | 27.1% |
| Spencer Nora | 6.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Price | 7.7% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Sam White | 27.3% | 25.2% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 20.5% | 26.6% | 27.4% |
| Austin Powers | 14.0% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Seitz | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 5.5% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 25.4% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.