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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.15+1.25vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+0.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.56vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21-0.55vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65-0.66vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.09+1.21vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.03+0.05vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.85-2.25vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Georgetown University3.150.4%1st Place
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2.83George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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3.45Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.34Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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7.21Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.05SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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5.75Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.55Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Marshall | 37.3% | 27.3% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 23.5% | 24.7% | 21.4% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Austin Powers | 15.6% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 20.3% | 24.9% | 29.0% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 21.1% | 26.7% | 23.1% |
| Sydney Seitz | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 5.4% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 25.0% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.