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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+2.55vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.60+2.67vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-0.09+4.20vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.65+0.31vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.15-2.77vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.78-3.30vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University0.85-1.23vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.03-0.99vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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7.2Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.31Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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2.23Georgetown University3.150.4%1st Place
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2.7George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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5.77Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.01SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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7.54Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 13.4% | 16.6% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.1% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 20.0% | 24.6% | 29.2% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 18.1% | 20.6% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Jack Marshall | 39.1% | 26.5% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 25.0% | 27.1% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Seitz | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 22.5% | 19.7% | 13.6% | 6.1% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 20.1% | 28.0% | 22.7% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.