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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.78+1.70vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.15+0.36vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+0.57vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.65+0.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.60-0.57vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.09+1.19vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.03+0.07vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University0.85-2.24vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7George Washington University2.780.3%1st Place
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2.36Georgetown University3.150.3%1st Place
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3.57Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.36Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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4.43U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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7.19Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.07SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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5.76Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.57Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam White | 27.7% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 14.5% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 33.5% | 28.1% | 19.4% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 14.1% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Nora | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 19.9% | 25.3% | 28.7% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 20.8% | 27.2% | 23.0% |
| Sydney Seitz | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 5.4% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 24.6% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.