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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+2.51vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.15+0.38vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+1.44vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.78-1.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.60-0.56vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.09+1.17vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University0.85-1.22vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.03-0.95vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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2.38Georgetown University3.150.3%1st Place
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4.44Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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2.67George Washington University2.780.3%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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7.17Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.78Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.05SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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7.56Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 16.1% | 14.8% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 33.2% | 27.9% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Sam White | 27.1% | 24.2% | 22.2% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 7.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 27.3% | 27.3% |
| Sydney Seitz | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 21.1% | 26.0% | 24.4% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.