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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.15+1.26vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+0.83vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+0.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.60+0.44vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65-0.67vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.85-0.25vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.09+0.25vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.03-0.97vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Georgetown University3.150.4%1st Place
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2.83George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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3.56Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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4.44U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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4.33Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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5.75Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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7.25Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.03SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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7.55Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Marshall | 36.9% | 26.9% | 18.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 24.3% | 24.8% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 14.1% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Nora | 7.9% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 21.2% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Sydney Seitz | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 20.8% | 22.5% | 13.1% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 29.4% | 27.5% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.8% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 22.5% | 23.5% | 24.8% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 24.7% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.