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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.15+1.25vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.60+2.67vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+0.59vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University0.85+1.68vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.78-2.36vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65-1.62vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.09+0.23vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.03-1.00vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Georgetown University3.150.4%1st Place
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4.67U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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3.59Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.68Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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2.64George Washington University2.780.3%1st Place
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4.38Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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7.23Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.0SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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7.55Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Marshall | 36.0% | 28.7% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.3% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Austin Powers | 13.1% | 18.0% | 18.6% | 19.3% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Seitz | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 5.2% |
| Sam White | 28.7% | 26.7% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.6% | 8.2% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 28.8% | 27.5% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 21.7% | 23.6% | 24.5% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 15.6% | 24.2% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.