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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+3.48vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+4.10vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.34+3.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+3.30vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+2.26vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.65+3.00vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.77+4.75vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.13vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-3.68vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.33+0.29vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-5.09vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-0.60vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.34-6.49vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32-0.80vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.50-5.35vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.50-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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5.6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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7.1Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.49College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.0Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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12.75Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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9.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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6.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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12.4University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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14.2Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.65Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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10.61Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 19.0% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Menninger | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| John Stokes | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Jeff Hahl | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 19.7% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 14.1% |
| Robert Vann | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Blair Davis | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 38.2% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.