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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.77+5.10vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.47+2.02vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.31+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.29+3.82vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.51+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.99-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.12+2.22vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.84+3.50vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.87+3.11vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.13-1.73vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.45-3.82vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-1.07+0.38vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-4.74vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-2.32vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-2.60vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.15-0.48vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51-6.46vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-2.83-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1University of South Florida0.778.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii1.4720.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Hawaii1.3116.6%1st Place
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7.82University of Hawaii0.295.9%1st Place
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7.13University of Hawaii0.517.0%1st Place
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5.81University of South Florida0.999.6%1st Place
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9.22University of Southern California-0.124.5%1st Place
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11.5University of California at Berkeley-0.841.7%1st Place
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12.11University of California at San Diego-0.872.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Victoria0.135.1%1st Place
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7.18University of South Florida0.456.5%1st Place
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12.38Unknown School-1.071.1%1st Place
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8.26University of California at Santa Barbara0.065.5%1st Place
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11.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.9%1st Place
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12.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.8%1st Place
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15.52University of California at Davis-2.150.4%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Santa Barbara-0.512.4%1st Place
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16.62Rutgers University-2.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghislaine van Empel | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 20.0% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 16.6% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aevyn Jackson | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 30.9% | 27.6% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Terry Nguyen | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 19.1% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.