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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+2.56vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.78+0.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.52vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University0.85+1.68vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.15-2.79vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.65-1.61vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-0.09+0.25vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.03-0.99vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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2.82George Washington University2.780.2%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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5.68Monmouth University0.850.0%1st Place
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2.21Georgetown University3.150.4%1st Place
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4.39Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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7.25Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.01SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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7.56Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 13.8% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam White | 21.4% | 26.5% | 22.7% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Nora | 6.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Seitz | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 5.6% |
| Jack Marshall | 40.7% | 25.9% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Seski | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 28.3% | 27.7% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 21.0% | 24.1% | 24.5% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 24.9% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.