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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+2.23vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.19+1.40vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.25vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.65+0.04vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-0.09+2.02vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.85-0.41vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.33-4.00vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.03-1.01vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-0.35-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.4Georgetown University2.190.2%1st Place
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4.25U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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4.04Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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7.02Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.59Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.0George Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
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6.99SUNY Stony Brook0.030.0%1st Place
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7.49Rutgers University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 21.5% | 19.8% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 17.4% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Nora | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Price | 12.9% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Seski | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 28.0% |
| Sydney Seitz | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 5.3% |
| Riley Engelberger | 24.8% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Brown-McCue | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 28.0% | 24.1% |
| Mary Morgan | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 14.5% | 24.3% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.