Race 12A

arrigan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nicholas Price 12.8% 13.4% 11.6% 17.5% 16.7% 13.0% 11.2% 3.2% 0.6%
Austin Powers 17.9% 19.7% 17.8% 16.7% 13.0% 9.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3%
Spencer Nora 11.1% 11.5% 14.3% 13.7% 18.0% 16.1% 10.6% 4.0% 0.7%
Lola Bushnell 22.8% 19.4% 18.3% 15.8% 12.0% 7.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Sydney Seitz 4.9% 7.3% 9.9% 10.0% 13.6% 16.7% 17.6% 13.9% 6.1%
Riley Engelberger 24.0% 21.7% 18.9% 15.9% 10.9% 5.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Brendan Brown-McCue 2.7% 2.4% 2.5% 4.4% 6.4% 13.0% 18.8% 26.3% 23.5%
Mary Morgan 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 8.3% 14.4% 23.2% 40.7%
Sarah Seski 2.3% 2.5% 3.7% 2.9% 5.7% 10.5% 18.0% 26.6% 27.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.