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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+3.76vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+4.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+4.56vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.52+6.44vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+1.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79+0.56vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.49+0.44vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.08vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72-2.28vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.35+1.05vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.03+0.82vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.00-2.69vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.17-1.42vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.03-2.23vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.49-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.56Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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10.44Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.44Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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11.05University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.82Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.31Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.58Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.51Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ben Brown | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% |
| William Crary | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 20.4% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| William Dykes | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
| Robert Suriani | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 26.7% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 20.7% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 22.5% |
| John Rolander | 15.1% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.