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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+5.39vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+2.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+1.47vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+2.73vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.03vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.45+1.66vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.00+2.08vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.49-0.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.79-2.56vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90-3.68vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.17+0.48vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.03+0.02vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.03-1.06vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.35-3.12vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.52-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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4.72Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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4.47Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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7.66Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.08Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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11.48Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.94Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.88University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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10.39Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Schmitz | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 12.9% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 15.7% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 19.8% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 20.1% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 25.5% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 24.6% |
| William Dykes | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 12.6% |
| Ben Brown | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.