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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.90+5.13vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.45+5.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.79vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+1.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49-1.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.49+0.49vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.35+2.95vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-2.59vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.79-3.36vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.03+0.82vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52-1.30vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.03-1.05vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.17-2.62vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.00-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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7.51Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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3.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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4.82Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.54Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.95University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.41Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.82Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.7Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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11.95Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.38Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.97Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Crary | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 19.9% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 14.5% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| John Rolander | 14.5% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| William Dykes | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 14.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Robert Suriani | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 25.3% |
| Ben Brown | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 10.3% |
| Colin Henderson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 17.9% | 25.6% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 18.4% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.