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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+3.74vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+4.34vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.76vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45+3.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49-0.30vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.00+3.11vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90-0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-1.26vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.79-2.53vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.17+1.50vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.52-0.53vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.49-4.31vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.03-1.07vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.03-2.21vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.35-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Dartmouth College3.380.2%1st Place
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6.34Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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3.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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7.62Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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4.7Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.11Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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11.5Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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10.47Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.69Harvard University2.490.0%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.79Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.94University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 16.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 21.4% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| John Rolander | 14.3% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| William Crary | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 18.5% | 19.5% |
| Ben Brown | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 9.9% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Colin Henderson | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 18.2% | 25.9% |
| Robert Suriani | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 23.9% |
| William Dykes | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.