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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+4.62vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.75vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.49+3.48vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+1.29vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82+0.47vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.45+0.56vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.79-1.42vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.52+1.45vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.03+1.86vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.35-0.05vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.38-6.99vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.00-3.73vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.03-2.17vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.17-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47Tufts University3.490.2%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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7.48Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.29University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.56Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.45Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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11.86Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.95University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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5.01Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.83Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.39Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 17.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 20.9% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| William Crary | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ben Brown | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 8.5% |
| Robert Suriani | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 19.4% | 24.5% |
| William Dykes | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 24.5% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.