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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.90+4.05vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+3.70vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.03+7.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49-0.35vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82+0.52vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.17+4.34vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.52+2.48vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.45-1.40vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.79-3.37vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.49-3.46vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.03+0.06vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.35-1.87vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.38-9.23vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.00-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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6.05University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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11.68Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.65Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.34Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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10.48Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.6Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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12.06Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.13University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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4.77Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.03Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 20.9% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Crary | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Suriani | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 23.1% |
| John Rolander | 14.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Hunger | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 19.2% |
| Ben Brown | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 8.9% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 27.7% |
| William Dykes | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 15.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.