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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.47+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.51+4.80vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.31+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.52+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.16+3.15vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.99-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.29+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-0.12+0.91vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.40+1.84vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria0.13-1.75vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.06-2.91vs Predicted
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12Unknown School-1.07+0.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51-2.69vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-2.43vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-2.63vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.15-0.65vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-2.83-0.56vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.50-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Hawaii1.4719.7%1st Place
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6.8University of Hawaii0.516.9%1st Place
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4.37University of Hawaii1.3116.8%1st Place
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6.75University of South Florida0.527.9%1st Place
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8.15University of South Florida0.165.2%1st Place
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5.56University of South Florida0.9910.5%1st Place
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7.45University of Hawaii0.296.6%1st Place
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8.91University of Southern California-0.123.9%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Berkeley-0.402.3%1st Place
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8.25University of Victoria0.135.5%1st Place
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8.09University of California at Santa Barbara0.065.7%1st Place
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12.28Unknown School-1.071.4%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Santa Barbara-0.513.1%1st Place
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11.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.1%1st Place
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12.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.4%1st Place
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15.35University of California at Davis-2.150.8%1st Place
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16.44Rutgers University-2.830.3%1st Place
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13.54University of California at San Diego-1.501.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Rathkopf | 19.7% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 16.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hicks | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kalea Woodard | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Lemke | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aevyn Jackson | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 27.2% | 27.9% |
| Terry Nguyen | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 18.7% | 54.1% |
| Liza Churkov | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.