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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.81vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+4.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+4.52vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+0.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.49+2.49vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35+4.93vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.90-0.81vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-3.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.17+2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-3.15vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-4.39vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.52-1.31vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.00-3.76vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.03-2.17vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.03-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.2%1st Place
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6.32Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.79Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.93University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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6.19University of Vermont2.900.1%1st Place
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4.59Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.44Roger Williams University1.170.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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10.69Middlebury College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.24Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.83Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.71Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 19.7% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Schmitz | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| William Dykes | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
| William Crary | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Hunger | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Ben Brown | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Colin Henderson | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 25.5% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.