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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.51+3.24vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+4.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26+1.92vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+2.92vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+1.86vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.71+3.87vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19-1.79vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.71+1.83vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72-2.46vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.38-2.23vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-3.68vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.69-5.03vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.65-0.40vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.78-1.78vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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6.56Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.87Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.21Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.83Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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6.97Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.6Middlebury College0.650.0%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.16University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OJ O'Connell | 19.7% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 5.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 12.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Felix Wimmer | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 33.9% |
| Minot Frye | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 23.4% | 25.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 22.6% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.