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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+3.92vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+2.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+3.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.19+1.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+2.34vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+0.79vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.61-0.06vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.38-0.29vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.71+0.76vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.69-3.21vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.71-1.14vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-5.17vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.78-0.62vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.65-1.47vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.78-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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6.68Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.16Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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6.79Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.86Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.53Middlebury College0.650.0%1st Place
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12.16University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 18.0% | 19.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 12.7% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Farrell | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Minot Frye | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 22.8% | 28.7% |
| Felix Wimmer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 21.9% | 31.2% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.