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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.69+5.57vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+2.20vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+2.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.26+0.98vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.61+2.06vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.71+3.84vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-1.37vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.71+0.79vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-3.18vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.78+1.25vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.38-4.04vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.78-0.63vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.65-1.48vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.69-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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5.08Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.84Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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6.63University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.79Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.82Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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12.25University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.96Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.37Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.52Middlebury College0.650.0%1st Place
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6.66Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenic Bove | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 16.6% | 19.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 13.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Tong | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 4.1% |
| Zachary Hall | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 28.8% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Minot Frye | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 23.0% | 28.2% |
| Felix Wimmer | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 23.4% | 29.9% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.