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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.69+5.62vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+2.20vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+2.10vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+1.73vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.71+3.85vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.61-0.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67-1.20vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-1.82vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.26-4.92vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.78+1.22vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.38-4.09vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.71-3.02vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.78-1.78vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.65-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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5.1Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.85Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.99Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.8Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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12.22University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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7.91Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.98Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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12.46Middlebury College0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Bilik | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 17.1% | 18.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 8.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hall | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 27.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Minot Frye | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 21.8% | 26.8% |
| Felix Wimmer | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 22.2% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.