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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.19+4.06vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.65+10.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+0.23vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.61+1.94vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.38+1.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.28+0.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.71+1.72vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.71+0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-3.42vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.69-4.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.78+0.43vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-5.62vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.78-1.79vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.67-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.06Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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12.33Middlebury College0.650.0%1st Place
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4.74Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.84Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.72Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.7Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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12.43Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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12.21University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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6.59Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Williford | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Felix Wimmer | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 22.3% | 28.5% |
| Alexander Tong | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 17.6% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.8% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Minot Frye | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 30.9% |
| Zachary Hall | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Emmet Todd | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 25.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.