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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.38+6.53vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.51+2.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26+1.87vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61+2.84vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.71+4.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+0.53vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19-1.94vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.69-1.32vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.78+3.23vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-3.27vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.28-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.78+0.38vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.71-3.11vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-6.91vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.65-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Vermont3.510.2%1st Place
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4.87Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.69Boston University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.06Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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12.23Northeastern University0.780.0%1st Place
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6.73Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University2.280.0%1st Place
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12.38University of New Hampshire0.780.0%1st Place
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9.89Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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12.37Middlebury College0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Farrell | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 18.3% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Vickerson | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Domenic Bove | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Minot Frye | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 21.0% | 26.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Emmet Todd | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 26.6% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Felix Wimmer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 30.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.