Race 3A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jordan Bothwick 15.8% 16.7% 14.7% 12.3% 12.5% 9.1% 8.6% 6.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Godfrey 21.6% 15.5% 16.0% 15.1% 10.5% 9.0% 6.8% 3.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 9.1% 10.7% 11.2% 7.4% 13.3% 12.0% 12.0% 12.2% 6.3% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Erik Weis 11.7% 13.2% 13.3% 14.4% 11.7% 12.0% 9.7% 7.0% 5.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
James Barry 14.2% 17.2% 17.0% 14.0% 10.3% 10.3% 8.4% 5.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Schmitt 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 4.6% 5.7% 7.7% 11.6% 16.9% 18.8% 12.4% 8.0% 2.9% 0.2%
Jorge Castro 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 3.5% 5.4% 8.2% 11.9% 16.4% 22.5% 19.2% 4.7%
Adam DeVita 4.8% 4.8% 5.1% 7.1% 7.5% 7.4% 10.7% 14.5% 15.5% 11.8% 7.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Bradley Brown 10.8% 10.3% 10.4% 11.8% 12.9% 13.8% 11.2% 9.0% 5.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Lithen 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 1.2% 2.9% 6.1% 9.0% 16.7% 21.9% 26.7% 9.0%
Kelly Chang 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 1.5% 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 5.2% 8.7% 15.3% 20.9% 29.8% 10.6%
John Nothacker 5.1% 5.1% 5.8% 7.8% 10.3% 10.7% 13.8% 12.4% 13.2% 7.8% 5.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 2.0% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 2.5% 4.0% 4.2% 7.4% 11.5% 19.2% 19.6% 15.7% 7.1% 1.5%
Robert Ichiyama 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 1.4% 1.7% 2.7% 5.7% 12.7% 73.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.