Race 4A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Erik Weis 12.6% 13.7% 15.5% 12.5% 11.5% 10.0% 8.9% 8.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Brown 11.4% 12.8% 12.3% 11.7% 12.2% 13.0% 10.9% 8.0% 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 4.6% 4.9% 5.0% 6.8% 7.3% 7.7% 10.8% 14.8% 15.9% 12.9% 6.2% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Jordan Bothwick 14.9% 14.5% 14.6% 13.9% 12.8% 11.2% 7.5% 6.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Balk 7.2% 9.3% 10.0% 12.3% 12.2% 12.6% 12.2% 10.3% 8.2% 3.8% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 4.1% 4.3% 8.0% 10.5% 18.5% 17.9% 16.6% 10.2% 1.4%
Connor Godfrey 19.7% 18.2% 14.7% 12.0% 14.3% 8.2% 6.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Nothacker 6.6% 5.5% 6.4% 8.2% 8.0% 9.9% 13.3% 13.4% 13.0% 8.4% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Jorge Castro 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.9% 1.2% 1.0% 2.5% 4.4% 6.6% 10.1% 21.5% 22.5% 19.9% 5.4%
Matthew Schmitt 2.4% 2.4% 2.9% 2.0% 4.9% 7.3% 9.1% 12.6% 16.5% 16.6% 13.0% 7.1% 2.9% 0.3%
James Barry 17.1% 15.5% 14.1% 14.2% 11.0% 11.2% 9.2% 3.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kelly Chang 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 5.3% 10.7% 13.6% 22.1% 28.5% 9.9%
Andrew Lithen 1.3% 0.2% 0.8% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 6.3% 11.2% 16.3% 21.2% 25.6% 7.7%
Robert Ichiyama 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 1.6% 2.6% 5.5% 12.0% 75.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.