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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.98+6.15vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.87+0.93vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.56+0.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70-0.66vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55+0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.94+1.40vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63+3.67vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.74-2.65vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.74-3.56vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.36+0.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.51-2.62vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.48-1.43vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-1.11-1.29vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-1.46-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15SUNY Maritime College0.980.0%1st Place
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2.93Dartmouth College2.870.3%1st Place
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3.56Brown University2.560.2%1st Place
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3.34Brown University2.700.2%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Rochester0.940.0%1st Place
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10.67Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.35Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.44Cornell University1.740.1%1st Place
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10.35Williams College-0.360.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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10.57Columbia University-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.71SUNY Stony Brook-1.110.0%1st Place
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12.29Wesleyan University-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Murphy | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 26.4% | 22.3% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 18.9% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 20.1% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Morrison | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Rochon | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adam Hicks | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 12.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Keil | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Gomez | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 8.3% |
| Michael Danko | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Loren Myers | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 10.0% |
| Tomasz Stefankowski | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 23.6% | 25.7% |
| Kevin Winnie | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.