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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.34+6.22vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.33+9.04vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+5.04vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+1.76vs Predicted
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5Washington College3.65+4.84vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+1.07vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.50+3.56vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-0.99vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University5.19-4.34vs Predicted
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10Boston University4.07-1.70vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-0.31vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.34-4.58vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.88vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.77-0.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-8.64vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.32-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia3.01-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.22U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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5.76St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.84Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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7.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.56Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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4.66Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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10.69Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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7.42College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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13.18Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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14.36Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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12.38University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Vann | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 5.0% |
| John Stokes | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Michael Menninger | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Jeff Hahl | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 22.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Blair Davis | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 38.9% |
| Christopher Stessing | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.