Race 1A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Adelaide Ferguson 7.4% 7.7% 8.9% 8.3% 8.0% 8.5% 10.4% 7.9% 8.0% 8.0% 7.6% 4.1% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Mary Hall 23.1% 19.8% 15.4% 10.9% 9.7% 9.1% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Attardi 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 3.4% 4.4% 5.7% 4.9% 6.4% 7.4% 9.8% 12.0% 14.8% 13.0% 7.0% 1.0%
Catherine Shanahan 9.2% 12.9% 11.4% 10.4% 9.8% 9.9% 8.8% 8.3% 7.4% 5.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 10.0% 8.9% 8.0% 9.3% 9.8% 9.9% 9.4% 9.7% 7.6% 6.7% 4.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 3.9% 6.3% 5.5% 5.8% 5.8% 7.5% 9.1% 9.3% 10.2% 11.5% 9.5% 7.7% 6.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Julia Gowell 3.0% 1.9% 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 3.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 8.9% 10.1% 13.4% 17.5% 16.1% 3.2%
Andrea Luna 10.2% 9.0% 12.3% 9.7% 9.2% 10.8% 8.0% 9.9% 8.0% 6.2% 2.8% 1.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 13.5% 14.0% 12.3% 14.2% 11.5% 8.8% 7.5% 7.7% 4.5% 3.0% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 2.4% 3.6% 4.5% 5.8% 9.3% 14.2% 38.4% 13.7%
Eleanor Conroy 3.1% 3.0% 3.1% 5.3% 4.5% 5.0% 7.1% 8.0% 8.5% 7.9% 11.1% 12.0% 12.1% 7.4% 1.9%
Liana Folger 5.5% 3.9% 8.3% 8.0% 9.5% 7.8% 10.1% 8.1% 9.7% 9.2% 8.5% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Caroline Garth 2.3% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 4.1% 3.4% 4.3% 5.2% 7.1% 7.9% 9.5% 15.7% 17.3% 13.4% 1.8%
India Johnstone 5.3% 5.9% 5.5% 6.7% 9.9% 8.2% 8.9% 8.8% 9.7% 9.1% 9.1% 6.5% 3.6% 2.8% 0.0%
Cailey Treyz 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 2.6% 4.3% 9.7% 78.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.