Race 3A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Eleanor Conroy 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 5.5% 4.4% 4.7% 6.3% 7.1% 8.0% 10.6% 10.0% 11.1% 12.0% 7.2% 1.4%
Jennifer Borshoff 8.5% 10.5% 9.9% 9.6% 10.7% 10.5% 9.5% 8.1% 6.9% 6.0% 5.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 10.7% 11.7% 10.6% 10.6% 10.0% 11.7% 9.7% 7.0% 7.5% 4.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Hall 22.4% 18.5% 14.7% 11.4% 10.5% 9.3% 5.6% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 6.8% 8.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 9.9% 8.3% 10.1% 9.3% 8.7% 6.9% 5.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Liana Folger 6.8% 5.7% 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 9.3% 8.2% 11.2% 10.3% 7.9% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 14.8% 12.2% 12.9% 12.6% 11.5% 9.7% 8.0% 5.5% 4.5% 4.6% 2.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Julia Gowell 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 6.0% 6.5% 7.6% 9.2% 14.0% 19.2% 14.5% 4.2%
Caroline Garth 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 3.7% 3.9% 3.4% 5.4% 5.9% 7.4% 9.1% 12.0% 14.2% 15.6% 10.7% 2.6%
India Johnstone 5.5% 4.6% 6.6% 6.9% 7.4% 9.1% 9.5% 8.8% 8.7% 11.3% 7.6% 7.4% 4.8% 1.6% 0.2%
Andrea Luna 9.9% 11.0% 12.0% 10.0% 9.8% 7.1% 10.0% 7.9% 7.8% 5.1% 4.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 1.3% 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 3.7% 5.4% 9.6% 14.6% 42.5% 12.1%
Veronica Maccari 4.1% 5.5% 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 5.3% 6.9% 9.7% 10.0% 9.5% 11.2% 9.4% 6.6% 2.1% 0.1%
Amanda Attardi 2.3% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 5.3% 5.0% 6.6% 6.4% 7.7% 9.9% 12.5% 11.6% 13.7% 7.5% 1.3%
Cailey Treyz 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 2.2% 3.8% 10.5% 78.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.