Race 4A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mary Hall 22.1% 22.0% 13.5% 12.1% 9.2% 7.6% 5.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liana Folger 6.2% 6.2% 8.1% 9.8% 9.3% 7.0% 8.4% 10.0% 8.3% 7.8% 9.0% 6.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 14.5% 11.8% 14.7% 11.7% 10.6% 10.4% 8.3% 7.2% 3.7% 3.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 10.6% 10.7% 11.6% 11.7% 9.4% 9.3% 9.0% 9.2% 6.6% 5.3% 3.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
India Johnstone 5.8% 7.2% 5.9% 5.7% 6.2% 10.0% 7.1% 7.4% 10.2% 11.4% 9.1% 7.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Jennifer Borshoff 8.6% 9.4% 8.6% 9.9% 10.7% 10.5% 9.9% 9.2% 7.5% 5.8% 5.1% 3.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 8.2% 6.1% 8.6% 7.2% 9.0% 8.6% 10.9% 8.4% 9.2% 7.4% 6.9% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Andrea Luna 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 9.3% 11.0% 9.9% 8.5% 8.5% 8.9% 5.6% 3.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Amanda Attardi 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 5.7% 3.5% 5.2% 6.2% 7.6% 8.4% 10.5% 10.5% 14.5% 10.8% 8.4% 1.3%
Caroline Garth 2.1% 2.0% 3.2% 2.7% 3.3% 4.2% 5.3% 6.2% 6.7% 8.4% 11.8% 13.1% 18.0% 10.2% 2.8%
Veronica Maccari 4.6% 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 8.1% 6.3% 8.0% 9.4% 9.7% 9.5% 8.5% 7.7% 6.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Julia Gowell 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.3% 3.9% 3.7% 5.5% 5.9% 8.4% 9.5% 13.2% 22.2% 16.2% 2.4%
Nicole Edwards 0.3% 0.5% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.1% 7.6% 14.5% 39.6% 14.7%
Eleanor Conroy 2.7% 4.0% 3.4% 4.1% 5.6% 5.0% 6.5% 5.9% 8.5% 9.7% 13.4% 13.2% 10.7% 6.3% 1.0%
Cailey Treyz 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 1.7% 1.5% 3.6% 12.3% 76.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.