Race 6A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mary Hall 22.9% 20.4% 14.7% 12.4% 8.9% 7.0% 4.9% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 7.8% 11.4% 10.2% 11.5% 10.0% 7.8% 9.5% 7.8% 6.8% 8.3% 3.5% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 14.8% 12.0% 15.1% 11.5% 10.2% 10.2% 8.0% 7.4% 4.6% 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Catherine Shanahan 11.1% 10.9% 10.2% 10.5% 10.5% 10.6% 9.0% 8.6% 7.7% 4.1% 2.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 10.2% 10.4% 9.3% 9.9% 9.2% 11.6% 10.8% 7.6% 8.1% 4.3% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Liana Folger 6.1% 6.8% 7.1% 7.0% 8.3% 9.2% 9.8% 9.7% 8.4% 9.4% 8.3% 5.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Veronica Maccari 6.0% 4.5% 6.4% 6.1% 6.3% 8.1% 7.7% 9.5% 10.1% 10.6% 9.5% 7.4% 4.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Eleanor Conroy 3.3% 3.6% 2.4% 4.6% 5.7% 5.8% 5.4% 6.8% 9.7% 9.0% 11.4% 12.1% 12.7% 6.2% 1.3%
Amanda Attardi 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 3.4% 4.8% 4.4% 7.1% 7.1% 7.2% 10.6% 12.3% 12.2% 12.4% 8.5% 1.1%
India Johnstone 5.2% 4.5% 6.7% 7.6% 8.2% 7.8% 8.3% 8.8% 10.5% 9.5% 9.1% 6.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.3%
Adelaide Ferguson 6.1% 8.1% 8.0% 9.5% 8.7% 8.7% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 9.5% 7.2% 4.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Julia Gowell 1.7% 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 3.3% 2.6% 4.0% 6.1% 7.0% 6.8% 10.1% 14.0% 18.2% 18.6% 2.6%
Caroline Garth 1.6% 2.4% 3.0% 3.2% 3.7% 4.4% 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 8.8% 10.4% 15.3% 17.2% 13.5% 1.6%
Nicole Edwards 0.9% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 6.1% 9.3% 16.8% 35.3% 13.7%
Cailey Treyz 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 2.6% 3.5% 9.5% 78.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.