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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.28+3.72vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+4.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.74+0.58vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.97+1.58vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia1.31+5.45vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-0.57vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.28+0.65vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University1.71+1.43vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-3.13vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.52-2.95vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.81-1.86vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.49-1.74vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.38-5.42vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.51-1.69vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-1.07-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.58Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy3.740.2%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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5.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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7.65Hampton University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.43Christopher Newport University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.87Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.520.1%1st Place
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9.14Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Pennsylvania1.490.0%1st Place
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7.58George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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12.31Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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14.37SUNY Stony Brook-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy Hagood | 14.5% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mary Hall | 22.0% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gowell | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 15.0% | 3.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Liana Folger | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Garth | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 1.6% |
| India Johnstone | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Nicole Edwards | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 38.1% | 12.6% |
| Cailey Treyz | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 10.3% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.