Race 9A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mary Hall 22.3% 20.7% 15.4% 10.5% 9.0% 7.2% 5.9% 3.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Adelaide Ferguson 5.8% 8.2% 9.3% 7.8% 9.0% 9.1% 7.7% 10.1% 9.6% 6.9% 7.4% 5.1% 2.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Andrea Luna 10.6% 9.8% 11.0% 8.9% 10.5% 9.6% 10.6% 8.4% 7.7% 5.6% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 13.9% 14.1% 11.9% 12.2% 9.4% 9.8% 8.5% 6.6% 5.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Julia Gowell 1.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.8% 3.8% 3.2% 4.7% 6.4% 8.3% 9.0% 14.6% 19.1% 15.2% 3.4%
Catherine Shanahan 9.9% 10.7% 10.2% 9.7% 12.1% 11.4% 8.8% 8.7% 6.9% 4.9% 4.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 10.9% 7.6% 8.5% 10.3% 10.5% 8.9% 10.5% 8.1% 7.1% 6.2% 6.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.9% 4.8% 5.5% 7.1% 6.8% 5.9% 8.3% 9.1% 8.9% 12.0% 9.9% 7.6% 7.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Hannah McNomee 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 11.3% 8.2% 9.8% 8.8% 8.9% 10.1% 7.2% 6.4% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Liana Folger 5.2% 6.4% 6.8% 7.5% 8.4% 9.2% 8.9% 9.3% 9.7% 9.9% 8.3% 4.6% 4.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Eleanor Conroy 3.2% 2.7% 3.9% 4.6% 4.3% 5.6% 5.5% 7.0% 7.6% 10.5% 12.2% 12.3% 12.2% 6.6% 1.8%
Caroline Garth 1.9% 1.7% 2.3% 1.7% 3.8% 3.7% 5.4% 5.9% 6.6% 9.4% 9.3% 15.3% 16.7% 14.5% 1.8%
Amanda Attardi 2.3% 2.9% 3.3% 4.9% 3.1% 3.9% 5.2% 6.8% 7.3% 9.1% 12.7% 15.3% 12.7% 9.4% 1.1%
Nicole Edwards 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 3.0% 4.3% 6.3% 9.4% 14.8% 38.1% 13.1%
Cailey Treyz 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.9% 4.1% 10.5% 78.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.