Race 11A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Adelaide Ferguson 7.1% 7.7% 8.3% 9.1% 7.4% 8.3% 8.9% 9.6% 8.7% 8.0% 6.7% 5.7% 2.9% 1.3% 0.3%
Mary Hall 22.0% 19.5% 14.6% 13.1% 8.8% 8.0% 6.2% 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nancy Hagood 12.9% 13.9% 12.0% 11.5% 11.9% 10.9% 7.1% 6.7% 6.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Liana Folger 6.4% 6.1% 6.5% 9.8% 7.4% 8.0% 10.3% 7.7% 8.8% 9.6% 8.4% 5.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Hannah McNomee 7.0% 8.3% 7.7% 7.4% 8.0% 9.1% 8.6% 10.1% 10.1% 8.7% 6.8% 4.4% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Veronica Maccari 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 5.4% 5.5% 7.6% 9.3% 9.4% 10.0% 10.6% 11.0% 7.8% 5.7% 1.6% 0.2%
Catherine Shanahan 11.4% 9.1% 10.9% 10.7% 11.4% 10.6% 8.8% 7.8% 6.5% 4.6% 4.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 9.7% 10.3% 11.8% 8.9% 9.9% 8.2% 9.5% 9.5% 8.2% 5.9% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Jennifer Borshoff 8.8% 9.0% 9.6% 9.2% 11.0% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5% 8.4% 6.2% 4.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Caroline Garth 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.6% 3.6% 4.2% 4.0% 6.7% 6.2% 9.2% 10.2% 14.9% 18.4% 12.1% 1.4%
Julia Gowell 1.5% 2.4% 1.6% 2.6% 3.6% 3.6% 3.6% 5.1% 6.6% 7.3% 10.5% 12.4% 18.1% 17.7% 3.4%
Cailey Treyz 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 3.0% 9.3% 81.7%
Amanda Attardi 2.7% 2.1% 3.6% 4.2% 4.4% 3.9% 5.2% 6.5% 6.6% 9.1% 12.7% 14.9% 13.2% 9.2% 1.7%
Eleanor Conroy 2.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.6% 4.6% 6.1% 6.7% 5.7% 7.8% 10.9% 10.7% 13.7% 12.9% 6.0% 0.8%
Nicole Edwards 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.8% 2.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.9% 6.0% 8.8% 15.8% 39.9% 10.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.