Race 12A

maisa-women-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nancy Hagood 15.4% 13.9% 11.4% 12.3% 10.8% 7.9% 9.6% 6.4% 4.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Hall 22.3% 21.6% 12.7% 13.0% 8.4% 8.2% 5.7% 3.5% 2.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrea Luna 9.4% 10.4% 13.0% 8.9% 10.9% 7.5% 10.3% 10.0% 7.1% 5.1% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah McNomee 7.2% 7.4% 8.5% 9.0% 8.8% 8.3% 9.2% 8.2% 9.9% 8.5% 6.8% 4.5% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Jennifer Borshoff 9.0% 9.1% 8.4% 8.5% 10.0% 9.5% 9.1% 9.5% 8.8% 7.4% 5.6% 2.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.2%
Liana Folger 5.3% 7.0% 6.6% 7.0% 8.1% 10.5% 8.5% 9.7% 10.4% 7.1% 10.0% 6.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Veronica Maccari 6.2% 4.6% 5.8% 6.0% 5.9% 8.3% 7.2% 8.6% 10.7% 9.9% 9.4% 8.0% 6.1% 3.0% 0.3%
Nicole Edwards 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 1.2% 2.3% 1.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.8% 7.0% 9.7% 14.7% 37.0% 13.4%
Adelaide Ferguson 5.8% 6.9% 8.5% 8.5% 9.3% 8.7% 10.1% 9.9% 8.5% 8.6% 6.0% 4.7% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Catherine Shanahan 9.5% 9.8% 11.7% 11.4% 10.6% 9.4% 8.7% 7.9% 7.5% 5.3% 4.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Eleanor Conroy 3.1% 2.3% 4.3% 5.0% 5.2% 4.4% 5.9% 6.7% 8.1% 10.8% 10.7% 13.0% 11.4% 7.4% 1.7%
Amanda Attardi 2.6% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 4.6% 6.5% 5.1% 5.7% 7.8% 10.6% 11.6% 14.0% 14.2% 9.1% 0.8%
Julia Gowell 1.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.1% 5.1% 7.2% 11.0% 13.1% 20.4% 17.8% 2.7%
Caroline Garth 1.9% 2.1% 3.0% 3.4% 3.1% 4.4% 5.1% 6.5% 5.6% 10.2% 9.8% 15.4% 14.8% 12.8% 1.9%
Cailey Treyz 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 2.7% 4.4% 9.5% 78.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.