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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+2.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.63vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+2.01vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.00+2.67vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.99vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.96vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.52+1.02vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.97-1.22vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.03-2.43vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72-2.41vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania-0.39+1.66vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.16-0.22vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.11-1.16vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.83-4.07vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.01George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.67Hampton University2.000.1%1st Place
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4.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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6.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.02Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.78Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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6.57Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.59Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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12.66University of Pennsylvania-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Virginia0.160.0%1st Place
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11.84Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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9.93Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 28.0% | 24.1% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 11.8% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 16.5% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cary Kane | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 25.9% | 25.5% |
| Casey Firth | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 20.0% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 12.4% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 12.4% | 20.1% | 48.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.