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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.66vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.87vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46+0.09vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.03+2.56vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.00+1.71vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58-0.93vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-0.09vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.97-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.16+2.60vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52-1.85vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.72-3.51vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania-0.39+0.87vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.83-2.93vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.11-2.32vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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3.09Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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6.56Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.71Hampton University2.000.1%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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6.79Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Virginia0.160.0%1st Place
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8.15Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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7.49Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Pennsylvania-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.07Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.68Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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13.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 17.2% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 26.5% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 9.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Casey Firth | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 18.9% | 8.8% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Cary Kane | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 10.0% | 18.3% | 27.3% | 26.7% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 11.9% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 20.2% | 48.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.