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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.68vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+1.04vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.86vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+1.07vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.00+1.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.03+0.59vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.72+0.43vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.03vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.83+0.93vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52-1.83vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.97-4.20vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.11-0.12vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania-0.39-0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.16-2.41vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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3.04Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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6.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.7Hampton University2.000.1%1st Place
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6.59Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.43Fordham University1.720.1%1st Place
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3.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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9.93Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.17Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.8Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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11.88Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.79University of Pennsylvania-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Virginia0.160.0%1st Place
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13.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hughes | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 27.2% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Carolyn Smith | 17.5% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 11.9% |
| Cary Kane | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 18.1% | 25.4% | 27.2% |
| Casey Firth | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 10.5% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 23.2% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.