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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.46+2.08vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.85vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.52+4.97vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.58+1.07vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.98vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.97+0.84vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.00-0.33vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.03-1.34vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.72-1.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.13vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.83-0.95vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.39-0.68vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.11-1.08vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania-0.39-1.29vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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3.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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7.97Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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6.84Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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6.67Hampton University2.000.1%1st Place
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6.66Old Dominion University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.5Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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10.05Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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11.92Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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12.71University of Pennsylvania-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 27.1% | 22.8% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 18.9% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 6.4% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 13.8% |
| Cary Kane | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 25.5% | 25.9% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 12.0% | 20.1% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.