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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.97+5.63vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.58+2.92vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.46+0.02vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.83+5.97vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.01vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.78+1.30vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia0.39+4.00vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.72-0.54vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.17vs Predicted
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10Washington College1.52-1.90vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.00-4.28vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.11-0.08vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-7.07vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania-0.39-1.28vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.92George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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3.02Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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9.97Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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3.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
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7.3Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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7.46Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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8.1Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.72Hampton University2.000.1%1st Place
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11.92Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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12.72University of Pennsylvania-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Howes | 7.3% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 11.1% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 27.1% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 3.2% |
| Carolyn Smith | 17.1% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mason | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 22.6% | 12.7% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cary Kane | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 18.3% | 26.1% | 25.9% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.