← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.46+2.06vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.81vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.58+1.95vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University2.00+2.66vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.93vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.78+1.34vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.97-0.33vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.83+1.95vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.33-3.34vs Predicted
-
10Washington College1.52-1.85vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University1.72-3.50vs Predicted
-
12Columbia University0.11-0.09vs Predicted
-
13University of Virginia0.39-1.79vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania-0.39-1.31vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.06Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
-
3.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.2%1st Place
-
4.95George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
6.66Hampton University2.000.1%1st Place
-
6.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
-
7.34Old Dominion University1.780.0%1st Place
-
6.67Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
-
9.95Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
-
5.66U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.15Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.5Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
-
11.91Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
-
11.21University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
-
12.69University of Pennsylvania-0.390.0%1st Place
-
13.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katia DaSilva | 27.6% | 24.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Smith | 18.7% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 11.6% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Mason | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 21.4% | 12.8% |
| Colleen Roney | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 8.0% |
| Cary Kane | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 24.3% | 26.8% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 22.5% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.