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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.58+3.78vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+7.67vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.52+4.83vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.72vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+0.13vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.00+0.49vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.78+0.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.46-5.03vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.16+2.54vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97-3.32vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.72-3.66vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.11-0.16vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.33-7.27vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania-0.39-1.34vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.67Christopher Newport University0.830.0%1st Place
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7.83Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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5.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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6.49Hampton University2.000.1%1st Place
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7.1Old Dominion University1.780.1%1st Place
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2.97Georgetown University3.460.3%1st Place
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11.54University of Virginia0.160.0%1st Place
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6.68Cornell University1.970.1%1st Place
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7.34Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.84Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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5.73U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Pennsylvania-0.390.0%1st Place
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13.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miranda Bakos | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Cantolino | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 2.4% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Ortiz Vivas | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mason | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katia DaSilva | 28.4% | 22.8% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Firth | 0.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 9.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 21.8% | 11.6% |
| Hannah Hughes | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cary Kane | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 23.1% | 27.0% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 12.4% | 19.9% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.