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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.96vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.63+7.30vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+4.91vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.52+5.73vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.10-0.75vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-1.46vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+1.16vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.61vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75+0.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-3.37vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-2.97vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.42vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-6.68vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-5.01vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.91Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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5.25Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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5.54Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.99Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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14.02Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 10.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Abby Preston | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Sarah De Silva | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 8.6% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.