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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.87vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+7.76vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+5.79vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.56vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+0.19vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.09vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+0.73vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.49vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+0.87vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.63+0.43vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-4.93vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-2.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.40vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.52-3.41vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-7.41vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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5.19Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.87Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.43Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.59Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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7.59Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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14.02Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| Abby Preston | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 7.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.