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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.11vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.69vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.50+8.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.57vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.34+2.76vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65+4.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.33+4.69vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07+0.74vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.43-1.67vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.17-1.33vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-3.74vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University5.19-6.96vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.01-0.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.34-6.53vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.76-4.98vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.50-4.81vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.32-1.87vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.77-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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11.38Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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7.76College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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10.57Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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8.74Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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5.04Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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12.8University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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10.02Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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11.19Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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15.13Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.59Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Nick Dugdale | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| John Stokes | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% |
| Robert Vann | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Roble | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Blair Davis | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 40.0% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.