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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida0.99+4.95vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.28+2.82vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.13+5.39vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.12+5.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.06+3.50vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.52+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.16+1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.51-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.29-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.22-5.33vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.40+0.18vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.47-7.73vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.50+0.84vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.44vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-1.07-2.41vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.86-4.20vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-2.83-0.43vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.15-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95University of South Florida0.999.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Hawaii1.2813.8%1st Place
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8.39University of Victoria0.134.2%1st Place
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9.43University of Southern California-0.124.0%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Santa Barbara0.064.7%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida0.527.3%1st Place
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8.46University of South Florida0.164.8%1st Place
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7.31University of Hawaii0.516.8%1st Place
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7.99University of Hawaii0.295.3%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.2213.9%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Berkeley-0.402.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Hawaii1.4718.4%1st Place
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13.84University of California at San Diego-1.500.7%1st Place
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12.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.5%1st Place
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12.59Unknown School-1.071.1%1st Place
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11.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.861.7%1st Place
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16.57Rutgers University-2.830.4%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Davis-2.150.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalea Woodard | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Fleming | 13.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Juliet St. Germain | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hicks | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Erisman | 13.9% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 18.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liza Churkov | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 19.0% | 18.8% | 8.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Aevyn Jackson | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Terry Nguyen | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 19.3% | 55.0% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 28.1% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.