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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.98vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+4.96vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+4.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.91+3.42vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.83-0.83vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38-0.49vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.59vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.10-4.76vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.75-1.13vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-2.09vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.63-2.75vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.42-6.68vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.52-4.24vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.35-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.39Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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5.98University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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5.24Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.91Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.25Roger Williams University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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14.01Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 3.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Abby Preston | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 8.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 54.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.